The financial world shifted on its axis this Friday as President Donald Trump officially nominated Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve. This appointment is far from a mere administrative baton-pass; it represents a fundamental pivot in the world’s most powerful economic engine. Warsh, a former Fed governor and Wall Street veteran, enters the fray at a time when the central bank’s independence and its approach to liquidity are under intense scrutiny. For financial markets, the “Warsh Era” signals a departure from the status quo, promising a cocktail of aggressive rate-cut advocacy mixed with a disciplined, “tough love” approach to the Fed’s balance sheet that could fundamentally reshape the performance of risk assets in 2026. Kevin Warsh – a double-edged sword for risk assets The immediate market reaction to the Warsh news was a sharp “risk-off” move, with stock prices declining and Bitcoin facing selling pressure as well. This stems from Warsh’s reputation as a “reformed hawk”. While he’s aligned with Trump’s demand for lower interest rates to spur growth – a move that typically benefits stocks and cryptocurrencies – he simultaneously advocates for a significantly smaller Fed balance sheet. This creates a paradox for risk assets: while lower nominal rates are a tailwind, a reduction in global dollar liquidity is a massive headwind. As Stephen Brown of Capital Economics noted, Warsh is a “relatively safe choice,” but his conviction that “the Fed should operate with a much smaller balance sheet” could put persistent upward pressure on long-term bond yields, making non-yielding assets like stocks and crypto less attractive. Valuation over liquidity: the death of the “Fed Put” For years, equity markets have leaned on the “Fed Put” – the belief that the central bank would reliably inject liquidity at the first sign of trouble. Warsh, however, is a vocal critic of the Fed’s tendency to “pamper” markets. His “valuation-over-liquidity” framework means risk assets like high-growth tech and Bitcoin can no longer rely on central bank largesse to mask weak fundamentals. In a recent interview, Warsh argued that the Fed’s “bloated balance sheet” should be reduced to “support households and small businesses” rather than just the largest financial firms. This shift forces a Darwinian transition: companies with real earnings will thrive under lower rates, but “zombie” stocks and speculative bubbles that survived solely on excess market liquidity may face a harsh reckoning as the Fed’s safety net is pulled away. How to play risk assets amidst the new economic climate Ultimately, Kevin Warsh views the Fed not as a “pampered prince” of the economy, but as a disciplined steward of the currency. His belief that artificial intelligence will act as a “significant disinflationary force” suggests he may feel emboldened to cut rates without fearing an immediate inflationary spike, a scenario that could ignite a massive rally in small-cap stocks. However, the cost of this growth will be the removal of the experimental stimulus measures that defined the last decade. As we move toward May 2026, the transition from Powell’s “cautious guidance” to Warsh’s “structural reform” means the era of easy, liquidity-driven gains is likely over. In this new landscape, the winners will be those who prioritize real productivity over the temporary highs of central bank cash injections. The post What Kevin Warsh’s Fed nomination could mean for stocks, crypto, and risk assets appeared first on Invezz
