XRP Climbs 4% as Fed Rate Cut Bets Hit 99% Probability

The digital asset rallied toward the $3.00 threshold on explosive volume before consolidating, as traders positioned around upcoming macro catalysts and ETF rulings. Support has held firm above $2.88, but repeated failures near $2.99 highlight how institutional flows are dictating short-term ranges. News Background Federal Reserve futures now imply a 99% chance of a 25-bps cut on September 17, boosting crypto as a dollar-weakening trade. Exchange reserves rose to a 12-month peak, signaling more supply on exchanges even as whales accumulated an estimated 10M XRP in 15 minutes during the breakout. Six spot XRP ETF applications are pending SEC review in October, a structural catalyst traders are monitoring. Price Action Summary Session ran from September 8 04:00 to September 9 03:00. XRP advanced from $2.89 to $2.995 intraday (+4%) before closing at $2.95. Volume spiked to 159.63M at 13:00—nearly 3x daily norms—confirming institutional participation. Support held multiple times at $2.88–$2.89, while $2.995–$3.00 was repeatedly rejected. Final hour saw a grind higher: $2.94 → $2.95 (+0.34%) on 1.6M volume, with higher lows showing controlled accumulation. Technical Analysis Support: $2.88–$2.89 zone continues to attract buyers. Resistance: $2.995–$3.00 ceiling remains intact after multiple high-volume rejections. Momentum: RSI steady in mid-50s = neutral-to-bullish bias. MACD: Histogram converging toward bullish crossover, consistent with accumulation. Pattern: Price compressing within a consolidation channel under $3.00. A confirmed close above $3.00–$3.05 could target $3.30–$3.50. What Traders Are Watching Ability to close above $2.99–$3.00. Bulls want a clean daily settlement above the zone to flip resistance into support. Fed meeting on Sept. 17. A 25-bps cut is fully priced; anything larger or delayed could alter crypto liquidity expectations sharply. Whale inflows. Roughly 340M tokens reportedly accumulated in recent weeks. Traders are gauging whether this continues into ETF decision season. SEC’s October ETF rulings. Six applications, including from Grayscale and Bitwise, could transform institutional access and reprice XRP’s structural demand.